CRA Update
Economic, political, and geopolitical analysis from the Centre for Risk Analysis - a South African think tank with a global perspective.
- Indexed episodes, last 90 days
- 10
- Latest publication
- Sep 2, 2026
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- Earliest in this view
- Jul 7, 2026
Latest episodes
Less ANC, more coalitions (opens the original)
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CRA Research Associate Ofentse Davhie lays out the correlation between declining ANC support and increasing number of hung municipalities. He explains that as the ANC is expected to lose more seats in councils across the country come the 4 November election, that more coalition governments are going to be set up.Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: https://cra-sa.com/subscribeBook a briefing or public engagement with Ofentse: https://cra-sa.com/about/contact
Living Conditions | Socio-Economic Survey (opens the original)
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The latest update to the Socio-Economic Survey of South Africa is now available. This CRA audio note, exclusive for CRA clients, provides the key takeaways for the Living Conditions chapter.
South Africa-Zambia trade relations after Hichilema's re-election (opens the original)
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CRA Risk Associate Ofentse Davhie unpacks SA-Zambia trade relations and what to expect after Hichilema’s victory Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert: cra-sa.com/subscribe Contact Ofentse: ofentse@cra-sa.com
Manufacturing index hits seven-month low (opens the original)
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CRA Executive Director Chris Hattingh unpacks South Africa's latest manufacturing data.Subscribe to the CRA Risk Alert today: https://cra-sa.com/subscribe#risk-alert-subscription
The ANC’s decline is not just a turnout story (opens the original)
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CRA Research Associate Ofentse Davhie shows that the ANC's long decline is two separate problems, not one. Falling turnout masked a party losing supporters to abstention rather than to rivals. Measured against the full voters’ roll, the ANC's mandate fell from 52.8% in 2004 to 23.6% in 2024, and the arrival of “credible" alternatives has converted dormant disaffection into outright defection at both tiers of government.To book a briefing, contact Ofentse at ofentse@cra-sa.com or visit our websit
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