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Countdown to 2026

I write about the Senate and House seats that Democrats should target in the 2026 midterms.

Newsletter · By Brad Van Arnum · English · Official site

Indexed issues, last 90 days
2
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Sep 18, 2026
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Aug 16, 2026

Latest issues

  1. Issue · Sep 18, 2026

    2026 House Predictions (opens the original)

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    Hi everyone, I hope you’re all enjoying the start of fall! We’re now just 46 days away from the midterms, and today, I wanted to share my predictions for the House of Representatives.Yes, it’s a bit early, but House elections are fairly straightforward to predict, especially compared to Senate or governor’s races. Remember, all 435 House districts are up for election every two years, giving us plenty of data to work with.Knowing how a Congressional district voted in the 2024 presidential electio

  2. Issue · Aug 16, 2026

    Democrats Must End Gerrymandering in 2027 (opens the original)

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    Note: This piece was originally published as a guest post on “America’s Fractured Politics”, but I thought I would post it on my Substack, too. I’d love to hear any thoughts on my proposed bill.It has now been months since gerrymandering has been in the news. Given that every state’s Congressional map is set for November, the lack of coverage comes as little surprise. It would be a mistake, however, for Democrats to allow this issue to fade away, and in 2027, redistricting reform needs to be at

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