HeyJaredBitcoin Vector Lite
Views into BTC's underlying structure through the lens of investor flows. We identified the high risk top region. Next stop will be identifying the cycle bottom with our models. Delivered WEEKLY.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 13
- Latest publication
- Sep 30, 2026
- Audience
- Checking…
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 8, 2026
Latest issues
#BVL067: Ghosts of Breakouts Past (opens the original)
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Last week in BVL066, Bitcoin finally broke through to the other side.After months of false starts, failed rallies, and repeated trips back to lower ground, the Breakthrough carried Bitcoin above the ETF breakeven zone and toward $85k. But getting to the other side was never going to eliminate the scars left by the journey.Now Bitcoin has stopped running: price is moving sideways, volatility is compressing, and the attempts to push beyond $85k has been rejected. And after everyt
#BVL066: Break on Through (To the Other Side) (opens the original)
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Last week in BVL065, Bitcoin was tested and had something to prove.It was arguably the first proper test after the breakout, and Bitcoin responded with flying colors. The $75k–$76k zone absorbed the pressure, the structure held, and then Bitcoin did what it tends to do when the market mood changes: it moved fast, decisively, and without much mercy for the bears.During the bear market, breakouts repeatedly struggled to sustain. Price would push higher, attract the bulls, and then lose momentum be
#BVL065: The First Test (opens the original)
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Last week in BVL064, Bitcoin was playing the waiting game.This week, the first major catalyst broke the stalemate, but not in the direction bulls were hoping for. The CLARITY Act failed to advance in the Senate, removing one of the catalysts supporting expectations for another push higher.Now the market barely has time to digest the disappointment.Wednesday’s FOMC decision puts another major catalyst immediately ahead, leaving Bitcoin caught between the aftermath of the CLARITY Act and a macro e
#BVL064: The Waiting Game (opens the original)
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Last week in BVL063, Bitcoin had entered the quieter part of the breakout, where holding the ground already conquered mattered more than another explosive move higher.One week later, Bitcoin is still holding.Price has challenged $80k without sustaining the advance, but sellers have been equally unable to take control. The result has been another week of consolidation, with Bitcoin gathering strength for its next move.But beneath that apparent calm, conditions are changing.T
#BVL063: After the Fireworks... (opens the original)
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Last week in BVL062, Bitcoin had finally broken free from the range that had trapped it for most of the summer. The breakout was one of the strongest and most intense bullish reactions we have seen in this cycle.One week later, the fireworks have faded.Price is no longer moving vertically, the relentless upside has slowed, and Bitcoin is entering the less spectacular part of the move, the part where excitement gives way to patience.That is usually where things get interesting. A breakout is nece
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