HeyJaredBiosecurity Forecasting Group
We aim to provide a credible source of evaluated forecasts, enabling stakeholders to understand likely outcomes, prioritise resources, and drive informed decision-making in biosecurity. Our initial three-month focus is on viral outbreaks.
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 1
- Latest publication
- Jul 13, 2026
- Audience
- Checking…
- Earliest in this view
- Jul 13, 2026
Latest issues
Join our next forecasting round (opens the original)
Read excerpt
Biosecurity runs on predictions. Which pathogen is likeliest to cause the next emergency. Whether an outbreak will cross a border. How fast a case count will climb, whether a PHEIC will hold, whether a treaty text will survive the room. We make these calls constantly, in briefings, risk assessments, and reports, and we almost never go back to check whether we were right.Forecasting tournaments force the issue. You put a probability on a specific question, the question resolves on a set date, and
Publishing over time
Last 90 days. Choose a month to open its work.
Recurring subjects
Named in the text we hold. One piece can cover several.
Audience
No verified audience measurement yet.
About this data
Counts cover the work we have indexed. Tone needs enough text and a confident classification. Excerpts and episode notes are not full articles or transcripts.
Identity or attribution wrong? Suggest a correction.