HeyJaredAmbrus Béla's Geopolitical Outlooks
Discussions around escalating uncertainties driven by major power rivalries and policy shifts, ongoing conflicts and instabilities, economic and trade fragmentation, emerging tech disruptions, cyber, energy, societal shifts...
- Indexed issues, last 90 days
- 18
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- Sep 30, 2026
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- Aug 16, 2026
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The Politics of Fear: Eurobarometer, Institutions and the Geopolitics of Anxiety (opens the original)
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The apparently straightforward question—What do Europeans fear?—contains a methodological and political problem. Fear is normally treated in opinion polling as an attitude residing inside individuals which can be discovered through sufficiently well-designed questions. Ask representative samples what concerns them, aggregate the responses, and a map of European anxieties supposedly emerges.Eurobarometer institutionalizes this approach on a continental scale. Its surveys use large samples across
What If Peace Broke Out? (opens the original)
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Let’s start from here! Winners and losers, as happens in any other field. Is it shocking?Peace is not the objective! Isn't it obvious? The conventional assumption, however, is that states seek peace and resort to military competition when peace fails. A Realist interpretation begins almost from the opposite direction. States seek security, power and freedom of action in an international system in which no higher authority can guarantee their survival. Peace is valuable, but it is not the ultimat
The Trump–Xi summits and a hard bargain: Strategic Stability Without Strategic Trust (opens the original)
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Once the red carpet had been cleaned, repaired and rolled out for Xi Jinping in Washington, the symbolism was almost too neat. Four months earlier, Donald Trump had been received in China with conspicuous ceremony: an elaborate banquet, golden tableware, even Y.M.C.A. playing as part of the personalized hospitality surrounding the American president. Now it was Washington’s turn. Xi received the red carpet, military honors and the choreography reserved for an exceptionally important visitor.Yet
Information Defence and the Geopolitics of Truth (opens the original)
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The opening of the 2026 United Nations General Assembly is taking place amid an unusually explicit crisis of institutional trust. Opening the General Debate on 22 September, General Assembly President Khalilur Rahman acknowledged the problem directly: outside the UN, he said, people are no longer asking whether the organisation exists but whether it works. It was an unusually candid formulation from the institution itself. The theme of the 81st session — “Restoring trust, managing transformation
UNGA 2026: The Cost of Saying No (opens the original)
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There are moments in international politics when the speeches matter less for what they announce than for what they reveal. The opening of the 2026 United Nations General Assembly may be one of those moments. <img alt="" class="sizing-normal" heigh
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