HeyJaredŁukasz Zembik
- Indexed articles, last 90 days
- 6
- Latest publication
- Sep 25, 2026
- Outlet visibility, for OANDA
- Top 5M sites
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- Aug 7, 2026
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Geopolitics, inflation and central banks set the direction for markets (opens the original)
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The situation in the Middle East remains a focus for investors, although tensions may gradually ease following the latest escalation. In recent months, growing volumes of oil from the Gulf region have been shipped through so-called “dark transits”, partly limiting the impact of disruptions to established export routes. Supplies could gradually return to normal during the winter, allowing oil prices to decline slowly. The geopolitical premium is unlikely to disappear quickly, however. Markets rem
United Kingdom: The Bank of England faces a difficult choice (opens the original)
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UK consumer price inflation accelerated from 2.6% to 2.9% year-on-year in August, in line with market expectations. Core inflation delivered a slightly stronger reading, remaining at 2.6% against expectations for a decline to 2.5%. The figures confirm that price pressures in the British economy remain relatively persistent. The increase in headline inflation was driven mainly by energy prices, including more expensive fuel. This is particularly important given the continued rise in global oil pr
Yen’s Appreciation Potential May Be Running Out (opens the original)
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The yen has experienced another week of sharp fluctuations, but the scale of monetary tightening currently expected from the Bank of Japan suggests that much of the positive news has already been reflected in its valuation. Markets now price in around 45 basis points of rate increases by the end of the year. Over the next twelve months, the policy rate is expected to approach 2%, widely regarded as a neutral level. A further sustained decline in USD/JPY would probably require expectations to shi
Gold Awaits Warsh’s Jackson Hole Speech (opens the original)
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Gold’s upward momentum is weakening ahead of Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh’s speech at the Jackson Hole symposium. The recent stabilisation in prices appears to reflect profit-taking after the previous rally, as well as growing caution before an event that could materially reshape expectations for US monetary policy. The key issue is the recent easing in financial conditions. The US Treasury’s announcement that it will increase buybacks of longer-dated government bonds, together with verbal
Treasury Intervention Puts the Dollar Under Pressure (opens the original)
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The sharp rise in US Treasury yields and the subsequent response from the Treasury Department were the main market developments of the week. Increasing borrowing costs, higher oil prices and persistent tensions in the Middle East initially intensified risk aversion. Later in the week, attention shifted to Washington’s attempt to stabilise the bond market, which simultaneously put significant pressure on the dollar. At the beginning of the week, global sovereign bond markets came under heavy sell
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